Two important pieces of data out this morning are making traders scratch their heads.  First, China’s industrial production figure disappointed, coming in at just 5% increase year-on-year.  This is the lowest reading in 17 years, and market analysts are flooding the news feeds with stories talking about a world economic slowdown.

You would expect this to have a positive impact on gold prices, and it did, sending gold above 1350 in overnight trading.

Second, US retail sales rose in May and the previously-reported April number was revised slightly higher.

All the positive-ness and happy faces around that report would put downward pressure on gold – because increasing sales should mean the US bull market will continue for a while. And that’s exactly what happened.  When trading opened at 8 AM Eastern time on the New York NYMEX market, gold prices dropped 7 points and are still falling as we write this.

So it could be a real push-pull day on gold prices, and results will doubtless depend on which market you trade.  Inside the US we’ll have to see if gold continues the stealthy climb it’s made this week, or if the local combination of rising US Dollar strength and investors staying in equities is enough to at least pause gold’s progress. Outside the US, or in markets that trade gold in other currencies, it’s more likely gold will hold or possibly even head higher.

One thing is for sure – we’ll be watching!



The Gold Enthusiast

DISCLAIMER: The author is long the gold sector via small positions in NUGT, JNUG, and a recent small position in KL. If gold doesn’t hold recent levels the KL position will be sold in the next 72 hours.

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