Alibaba Vs Pinduoduo: Which Chinese Ecommerce Stock Is a Better Buy?

NYSE: BABA | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR News, Ratings, and Charts

BABA – Is Alibaba (BABA) stock a better buy than Pinduoduo (PDD) right now?.

Ecommerce companies have been one of the most attractive investments for quite some time. It has been a high-growth sector for almost 20 years and will continue to be on investors’ radar in the upcoming decade. In the U.S., ecommerce sales accounted for 16% of total retail sales in the June quarter and these percentages are significantly lower in emerging markets in Asia and Latin America.

We can see why investors will continue to bet on companies in the online space. Further, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the shift towards online buying and may have changed consumer behavior across the globe.

Here we look at two such high-growth ecommerce companies in China to see which stock is a better buy right now.

Alibaba: A multi-billion-dollar giant

Alibaba (BABA - Get Rating) is the most diversified ecommerce company in China. It has a market cap of over $700 billion and remains one of the top bets for growth investors due to several growth drivers. During the recent Singles Day campaign that took place in China in the first 11 days of November, the gross merchandise volume (GMV) for Alibaba stood at $74 billion, up 26% year-over-year.

Further, China remains one of the fastest-growing major economies in the world. While the IMF has forecast the U.S. markets to decline by over 4% in 2020, China might grow its GDP by 1.9% in a year that is volatile, to say the least. China also has a rapidly expanding middle-class who will continue to buy products online driven by an increase in purchasing power.

In fiscal 2020, the company’s gross merchandise volume stood at $1 trillion and accounted for almost 17% of total retail sales in the country. Alibaba also ended the September quarter with 757 million annual active customers while monthly active users stood at 881 million.

Alibaba has a fast-growing digital payments vertical and is one of the largest players in the public cloud space. Its Cloud business grew sales by at least 60% in each of the last two quarters, accounting for almost 8% of total sales.

BABA stock has a forward price to sales multiple of 6.75x and a price to earnings multiple of 26x which is not too expensive for a company forecast to grow sales by 45.4% in fiscal 2021 and 31% in 2022. Analysts tracking the stock have a 12-month average target price of $338 for Alibaba, indicating an upside potential of 28% from current levels.

Note that BABA is one of the stocks in the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio. Learn more here.

Pinduoduo stock is up 450% since July 2018

Shares of another Chinese e-commerce company Pinduoduo (PDD - Get Rating) have gained 450% in just over two years, easily outpacing peers and the broader market. The stock in fact gained over 20% on November 12 after it posted stellar results for Q3.

The company’s gross merchandise volume was up 73% year-over-year at $215 billion while sales rose by 89% to $2.1 billion, above Wall Street sales estimates of $1.86 billion in Q3. PDD continues to expand its customer base as its average monthly users soared 50% to 643 million.

Yesterday, PDD reported adjusted earnings of $0.05 per share compared to a loss of $0.22 per share in the prior-year period. Earnings were also significantly higher than consensus estimates of a loss of $0.17.

Similar to other ecommerce companies, Pinduoduo has crushed the broader market and gained over 250% year-to-date. Like Alibaba, PDD will also benefit from multiple secular tailwinds allowing it to generate market-thumping returns for long-term investors.

PDD has a market cap of $161 billion indicating a forward price to sales multiple of 22x. It is trading at a much higher multiple compared to Alibaba but is also growing sales at a faster pace. Analysts tracking the stock, expect sales in 2020 to rise by 72% while its forecast to improve sales by 54% in 2021.

The verdict

Alibaba and Pinduoduo are two companies that should attract growth investors. However, Alibaba is trading at a lower valuation and is consistently profitable compared to PDD. For investors with a lower risk appetite, Alibaba is one of the top long-term bets for 2021 and beyond.

Want More Great Investing Ideas?

“MUST OWN” Growth Stocks for 2021

Is the Bull Market Back on Track?

5 WINNING Stocks Chart Patterns


BABA shares were trading at $258.05 per share on Friday morning, down $6.26 (-2.37%). Year-to-date, BABA has gained 21.66%, versus a 12.07% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Aditya Raghunath


Aditya Raghunath is a financial journalist who writes about business, public equities, and personal finance. His work has been published on several digital platforms in the U.S. and Canada, including The Motley Fool, Finscreener, and Market Realist. More...


More Resources for the Stocks in this Article

TickerPOWR RatingIndustry RankRank in Industry
BABAGet RatingGet RatingGet Rating
PDDGet RatingGet RatingGet Rating

Most Popular Stories on StockNews.com


Stock Market Update: It’s Complicated!

The S&P 500 (SPY) may have bounced 17% from recent lows, but the outlook for stocks from here is...in a word...COMPLICATED. Read on to get Steve Reitmeister full market outlook and trading plan for this complicated market environment.

Becoming More Bullish on Stocks, But...

Stocks are on a roll with the S&P 500 (SPY) up more than 10% from the recent lows. Before you start getting too giddy, you should read this updated market outlook and trading plan Steve Reitmeister.

Stock Market Held Hostage

Uncertainty is the term most often applied to this stock market. Uncertainty over tariffs. Uncertainty of whether the S&P 500 (SPY) will fall into bear territory. Uncertainty over what happens next. Steve Reitmeister dives into the uncertainty to make sense of the market in this week’s commentary...

Stock Market Standing on the 50 Yard Line

Steve Reitmeister contemplates where the stock market stands now and what happens next in trying to stay on the right side of the market action. One path points to bear and one to new highs for the S&P 500 (SPY). Which will it be?

Bear or Bull Market?

The S&P 500 is on the brink of bear market territory...but that outcome is not a given at this time. Steve Reitmeister shares insights gleaned from his 45 years of investing to shine a light on current conditions along with his top picks...

Read More Stories

More Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR (BABA) News View All

Event/Date Symbol News Detail Start Price End Price Change POWR Rating
Loading, please wait...
View All BABA News