Mosaic Company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Mosaic is a single source provider of phosphates and potash fertilizers and feed ingredients for the global agriculture industry. The Mosaic Company was founded in 2004 and is based in Plymouth, Minnesota.
MOS Price Forecast Based on DCF Valuation
DCF Fair Value Target:
We started the process of determining a valid price forecast for Mosaic Co with a discounted cash flow analysis -- the results of which can be found in the table below. To summarize, we found that Mosaic Co ranked in the 14th percentile in terms of potential gain offered. We should note, though, that all scenearios modelled for this stock suggest it is overvalued. The most interesting components of our discounted cash flow analysis for Mosaic Co ended up being:
Its compound free cash flow growth rate, as measured over the past 5.47 years, is -0.14% -- higher than merely 11.74% of stocks in our DCF forecasting set.
Mosaic Co's interest coverage rate -- a measure of gross earnings relative to interest payments -- comes in at -7.19. This coverage rate is greater than that of just 9.7% of stocks we're observing for the purpose of forecasting via discounted cash flows.
The weighted average cost of capital for the company is 13. This value is greater than 87.66% stocks in the Basic Materials sector that generate free cash flow.
Terminal Growth Rate in Free Cash Flow
Return Relative to Current Share Price
For other companies in the Basic Materials that have a similar discounted cashflow valuation profile (and ensuing price forecasts) as MOS, try SQM, AA, TORM, GOLD, and KGC.
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