Noah Holdings operates as a wealth management service provider with focus on wealth investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and enterprises in the People's Republic of China. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, China.
NOAH Price Forecast Based on DCF Valuation
DCF Fair Value Target:
Below please find a table outlining a discounted cash flow forecast for NOAH, in which we model out valuation assuming a variety of terminal growth rates. To summarize, we found that Noah Holdings Ltd ranked in the 92th percentile in terms of potential gain offered. Moreover, under all the scenarios we modelled, the output consistently forecasted positive returns. The most interesting components of our discounted cash flow analysis for Noah Holdings Ltd ended up being:
The company's debt burden, as measured by earnings divided by interest payments, is 2,440.94; that's higher than 98.48% of US stocks in the Financial Services sector that have positive free cash flow.
The business' balance sheet reveals debt to be 6% of the company's capital (with equity being the remaining amount). Approximately merely 15.65% of US stocks with free cash flow have a lower reliance on debt in their capital structure.
NOAH's estimated cost of debt, based largely on its market capitalization and its interest coverage ratio, is 2%; for context, that number is higher than 43.27% of tickers in our DCF set.
Terminal Growth Rate in Free Cash Flow
Return Relative to Current Share Price
ELVT, GECC, TREE, RDN, and ESGR can be thought of as valuation peers to NOAH, in the sense that they are in the Financial Services sector and have a similar price forecast based on DCF valuation.
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