Tesla Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, electric vehicle powertrain components, and stationary energy storage systems in the United States, China, Norway, and internationally. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
TSLA Price Forecast Based on DCF Valuation
DCF Fair Value Target:
Below please find a table outlining a discounted cash flow forecast for TSLA, in which we model out valuation assuming a variety of terminal growth rates. To summarize, we found that Tesla Inc ranked in the 10th percentile in terms of potential gain offered. We should note, though, that the most conservative analysis suggests this stock will yield negative results -- and thus may be a potential short opportunity. The most interesting components of our discounted cash flow analysis for Tesla Inc ended up being:
The company has produced more trailing twelve month cash flow than 92.45% of its sector Consumer Cyclical.
97% of the company's capital comes from equity, which is greater than 89.24% of stocks in our cash flow based forecasting set.
The business' balance sheet suggests that 3% of the company's capital is sourced from debt; this is greater than just 10.72% of the free cash flow producing stocks we're observing.
Terminal Growth Rate in Free Cash Flow
Return Relative to Current Share Price
For other companies in the Consumer Cyclical that have a similar discounted cashflow valuation profile (and ensuing price forecasts) as TSLA, try RRR, APEX, APTV, CHH, and NDLS.
For a few years now, Tesla CEO Elon Musk has been briefly, occasionally, and somewhat mysteriously mentioning a potential low-cost Tesla vehicle that would have a starting price significantly below the starting price of the Tesla Model
By now, most of you are probably familiar with the prevailing narrative about Tesla’s Battery Day: the punditocracy was expecting instant gratification, and they didn’t get it (in more ways than one). An uncharacteristically cautious Elon Musk talked about a three-year timeline and, in a world in which the definition of “the long term” seems to have shrunk to one year, 2023 is seen as the far future
Wedbush Securities thinks the Tesla (TSLA) deliveries report sets it up for more good news ahead. "Overall we would characterize these delivery numbers as DeChambeau-like strength from Tesla as the company hit the high end of bullish whisper expectations for the quarter," notes analyst Dan Ives (assuming basic knowledge of...
Tesla (TSLA) says it delivered 139,300 vehicles in Q3, including over 124K Model 3/Ys.The consensus estimate was for 136K deliveries, although the last few estimates in from Wall Street were right around the 140K mark.The company produced a total of 145,036 vehicles during the quarter."Our net income and cash flow...