Falcon Minerals Corporation acquires and owns mineral, royalty, and over-riding royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties in North America. It owns interests covering approximately 256,000 gross unit acres in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk in Karnes, DeWitt, and Gonzales Counties in Texas, as well as approximately 75,000 gross unit acres in the Marcellus Shale across Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia. The company is based in New York, New York.
FLMN Price Forecast Based on DCF Valuation
DCF Fair Value Target:
The table below illustrates the output of a discounted cash flow forecast using a variety of scenarios for Falcon Minerals Corp. To summarize, we found that Falcon Minerals Corp ranked in the 4th percentile in terms of potential gain offered. We should note, though, that all scenearios modelled for this stock suggest it is overvalued. The most interesting components of our discounted cash flow analysis for Falcon Minerals Corp ended up being:
Its compound free cash flow growth rate, as measured over the past 1.99 years, is -0.61% -- higher than merely 1.82% of stocks in our DCF forecasting set.
Relative to other stocks in its sector (Energy), Falcon Minerals Corp has a reliance on debt greater than only 19.34% of them.
Terminal Growth Rate in Free Cash Flow
Return Relative to Current Share Price
Want more companies with a valuation profile/forecast similar to that of Falcon Minerals Corp? See FI, GBR, APA, CLR, and CPE.
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On Wednesday, I unveiled the first four names (Tranche 1) in my 2021 Tax Loss Selling Recovery Portfolio, and today I'll reveal the second group of four (Tranche 2). While the company does pay a dividend (26 cents over the past four quarters, 6.5 cents last quarter) it is classified as a "non-dividend distribution" which represents a reduction in cost basis, and not ordinary income.