Vistra Energy Corp., an energy company, operates as an integrated power business in Texas. The company operates through two segments, Wholesale Generation and Retail Electricity. The company was formerly known as TCEH Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Energy Corp. in November 2016. The company is based in Dallas.
VST Price Forecast Based on DCF Valuation
DCF Fair Value Target:
The table below illustrates the output of a discounted cash flow forecast using a variety of scenarios for Vistra Corp. To summarize, we found that Vistra Corp ranked in the 90th percentile in terms of potential gain offered. Specifically, our DCF analysis implies the stock is trading below its fair value by an estimated 2238.33%. As for the metrics that stood out in our discounted cash flow analysis of Vistra Corp, consider:
In the past 2.76 years, Vistra Corp has a compound free cash flow growth rate of 0.63%; that's better than 89.03% of cash flow producing equities in the Utilities sector, where it is classified.
47% of the company's capital comes from equity, which is greater than merely 24.51% of stocks in our cash flow based forecasting set.
Vistra Corp's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 8%; for context, that number is higher than only 18.01% of tickers in our DCF set.
Terminal Growth Rate in Free Cash Flow
Return Relative to Current Share Price
For other companies in the Utilities that have a similar discounted cashflow valuation profile (and ensuing price forecasts) as VST, try ENIC, SBS, GNE, EOCCY, and CREG.
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